Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 230.142159 259.343654 291.843166 330.881598 376.746880 429.222784 494.235236
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 193.323318 233.305764 281.905286 346.123184 429.954380 537.396186 688.386923
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 175.174615 221.094628 280.280950 363.784528 481.283072 645.072736 898.864786
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 156.367204 204.053100 268.289864 363.617395 505.960326 718.453665 1076.062287
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 138.998912 186.162132 251.937678 353.578929 512.897037 764.776109 1220.008467
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 125.358814 171.644504 238.144229 344.586679 518.757615 808.783962 1368.891869
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 118.868358 166.525682 237.153659 354.497680 555.604129 910.148746 1648.168318
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 111.374939 159.048152 231.572975 355.971988 577.925739 989.552638 1907.102752
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 103.148360 149.637715 221.907014 349.215141 584.243051 1039.591862 2118.004906
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 97.429395 143.596309 216.949812 349.734113 603.685649 1118.874906 2421.472942
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 90.886790 135.688690 208.155765 342.316050 606.584072 1164.069845 2656.088705
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 86.114602 130.269419 203.013487 340.863831 620.944926 1236.924450 2991.004601
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 79.031185 120.684964 190.218609 324.225808 602.730675 1234.435548 3119.718335
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 77.467881 120.244344 193.309227 338.357429 652.190082 1404.857072 3855.472562
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 76.427292 120.575144 197.737297 355.595617 711.609320 1617.084547 4858.874935
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 73.041195 116.556548 193.857516 355.425162 730.885727 1728.018279 5565.245873
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 68.705327 110.566153 185.827952 345.671029 725.612379 1768.585057 6016.064216
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 64.859034 105.218611 178.620427 336.930909 721.565949 1812.282149 6513.914979
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 63.504585 104.294353 179.798553 346.563844 765.851158 2017.730570 7938.862402
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 61.302566 101.662821 177.428189 347.996614 788.935669 2162.773187 9196.905345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 58.397414 97.548318 171.816943 341.429770 789.231256 2230.887335 10089.046787
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 56.432663 95.090137 169.354575 341.934181 809.470459 2377.094423 11632.009746
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 53.830967 91.276812 163.873150 334.723706 806.409934 2436.433150 12664.274054